(Moscow) – Russian authorities are preparing to enlist 280,000 individuals for the ongoing war against Ukraine in 2025, with 126,000 of these recruits coming from prison populations, individuals under investigation, and those with outstanding debts. This move is part of a broader strategy to reinforce Russian military forces as they continue to face significant losses in Ukraine.
According to Ukrainian intelligence reports from the Main Directorate of Intelligence (GUR), Russia is targeting vulnerable groups to bolster its forces. The targeted groups include individuals currently serving prison sentences, those under investigation for criminal activities, and people struggling with financial debts. These individuals are expected to be mobilized throughout the year, with the plan to recruit around 10,000 individuals each month to compensate for battlefield casualties.
This move is not the first time Russia has recruited from its penal institutions. Up to 180,000 prisoners have already been enlisted to fight in the conflict, many of whom were offered financial incentives and reduced sentences in return for their service.
However, the financial incentives previously offered to prisoners have been removed as of January 1, 2025, due to Russia’s growing economic challenges. The elimination of these one-time payments marks a significant shift, reflecting the increasing strain on Russia’s economy as it continues its military campaign.
The recruitment of individuals from such vulnerable sectors highlights the increasing pressure Moscow faces in sustaining its war effort. Ukraine’s intelligence agencies are closely monitoring these developments, emphasizing the coercive nature of Russia’s mobilization strategy. The use of prisoners and debtors indicates the Kremlin’s desperation to maintain its military momentum amidst continued resistance from Ukrainian forces.
While the mobilisation may temporarily fill gaps in Russian military ranks, its long-term effectiveness remains uncertain as Ukraine’s defense continues to intensify.
